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Assured Guaranty Ltd.

AGO · NYSE

Market closed$84.96$0.790000 (+0.94%)After hours $84.96 · 0.00%

Key statistics

Previous close$84.17
Open$84.12
Day high$86.32
Day low$84.12
52-week high$92.40
52-week low$72.76
Market cap3.76B
Volume197.96K
Average volume414.70K
P/E ratio10.30
Forward P/E—
EPS8.25
Dividend yield+1.69%

Market context

Why it moved

Assured Guaranty's stock edged higher after Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained its "outperform" rating and the company's latest earnings beat expectations with EPS significantly surpassing estimates, offsetting a modest price target reduction from $103 to $101.

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What is happening

Recent company-specific developments and publisher coverage.

July 17, 2026Assured Guaranty closed modestly higher, supported by fresh analyst commentary as Keefe, Bruyette & Woods trimmed its price target slightly to $101 from $103 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating — still implying roughly 20% upside from current levels. The move comes amid a broader positive backdrop for financials, with the financial services ETF (IYG) recently hitting 52-week highs following strong Wall Street bank earnings. Underpinning the bullish analyst stance is the company's Q1 earnings beat — EPS of $2.50 vs. a $1.50 consensus — though revenue declined 24.3% year-over-year, keeping some investors cautious.

0.9386

July 16, 2026Assured Guaranty shares rose over 2% as fresh institutional interest bolstered investor confidence, with Hillsdale Investment Management opening a new 37,800-share position and Royal Bank of Canada boosting its stake by 61.6% in Q1. The gains come against a constructive backdrop for specialty insurers: analysts maintain a Moderate Buy consensus with a $92.33 price target, and the company's Q1 earnings of $2.50/share handily beat the $1.50 consensus. Broader financial sector momentum — with the iShares U.S. Financial Services ETF IYG hitting a new 52-week high — added a tailwind.

2.0366

July 14, 2026Assured Guaranty closed modestly lower as mixed sentiment surrounds the specialty insurer heading into Q2 earnings season. Analyst consensus remains a cautious Hold with an average price target of $92.33, though UBS recently upgraded the stock to Buy while Roth Capital downgraded it to Neutral with an $80 target. Recent insider activity was mixed — the company repurchased shares in late April while COO Robert Bailenson sold 50,000 shares in May. The stock's Q1 earnings beat was significant, with EPS of $2.50 vs. the $1.50 consensus, but broader financial sector headwinds and AI disruption concerns have weighed on the group, per Morningstar's Q3 outlook.

-1.254

July 14, 2026Assured Guaranty shares rose nearly 2%, outperforming the broader financial services sector as investors responded to a constructive backdrop for the specialty insurer. The stock trades well below its consensus analyst price target of $92.33, with UBS recently upgrading to Buy with a $94 target, even as the overall rating remains Hold. The company's Q1 earnings meaningfully beat estimates ($2.50 EPS vs. $1.50 expected), and the financial sector is drawing rotation interest amid AI volatility and an active Q2 earnings season kicking off with major banks.

1.9854

July 10, 2026Assured Guaranty closed modestly lower as HSBC Holdings disclosed a 34.3% reduction in its AGO position during Q4, adding mild selling pressure on already below-average volume. Separately, shares crossed above their 200-day moving average earlier in the session — a technical milestone that drew attention — while the broader financial sector drifted in a mixed tape, with the S&P 500 edging up just 0.2% on the day as investors positioned ahead of Q2 earnings season.

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July 9, 2026Assured Guaranty closed modestly lower as geopolitical tensions resurfaced after President Trump declared the U.S.-Iran ceasefire 'over,' triggering a broad equity sell-off, rising oil prices, and renewed inflation fears that weighed on financial stocks. The specialty insurer saw below-average trading volume, with the only notable company-specific development being a routine CFO tax-withholding transaction earlier in the week—a neutral insider event that left executive equity stakes largely intact. Meanwhile, a peer insurer upgrade (AIG raised to Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald) highlighted selective analyst optimism within the sector even as macro headwinds clouded the broader financial services landscape.

-0.3021

July 9, 2026Assured Guaranty closed modestly lower as a broad risk-off selloff swept financial markets after President Trump declared the Iran ceasefire deal 'over,' sending oil prices surging over 5% and triggering a global equity retreat. Compounding company-specific pressure, AGO was recently removed from the Russell 1000 Dynamic Index in late June 2026, a move that can force mechanical selling by index-tracking funds and shift the investor mix. On the positive side, the company's active $104M share buyback program — retiring roughly 2.73% of shares — provides some offset to index-related outflows, and analysts see fair value near $92, implying meaningful upside from current levels.

-1.5115

July 6, 2026Assured Guaranty closed essentially flat after its late June removal from the Russell 1000 Dynamic Index drew investor attention, as index-linked funds may have made mechanical portfolio adjustments that weighed on trading volumes — Monday's volume of ~189K shares came in well below the 420K average. The index exit doesn't alter the company's fundamental story, which centers on managing troubled credits, ongoing share repurchases ($104M used to buy back ~2.73% of shares through early May 2026), and a Simply Wall St. fair value estimate of ~$92.33 — implying roughly 10% upside from current levels.

-0.0478

MarketBeat · July 17, 2026Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Price Target Lowered to $101.00 at Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMarketBeat · July 17, 2026Assured Guaranty Ltd. $AGO Shares Sold by Principal Financial Group Inc.Simply Wall Street · July 5, 2026Should Assured Guaranty’s Removal From a Key Russell Index Require Action From AGO Investors?Seeking Alpha · May 12, 2026Assured Guaranty's Selloff Has Created A Strong Buying OpportunityStockStory · May 8, 2026Why Assured Guaranty (AGO) Shares Are Trading Lower TodayStock Titan · May 7, 2026Assured Guaranty returns $93M to shareholders after $88M profitReinsurance News · January 22, 2026Assured Guaranty expands into annuity reinsurance through Warwick Re acquisition
Benzinga · May 28, 2026Assured Guaranty Files Shelf Registration For Potential Offerings Of Common Shares, Preferred Stock, Debt Securities And Other Instruments From Time To Time
Mt Newswire · May 19, 2026Assured Guaranty Shares Rise After UBS Upgrade
Benzinga · May 19, 2026UBS Upgrades Assured Guaranty to Buy, Maintains Price Target to $94
Mt Newswire · May 19, 2026UBS Upgrades Assured Guaranty to Buy From Neutral, $94 Price Target
Mt Newswire · May 12, 2026Assured Guaranty Insider Sold Shares Worth $3,930,765, According to a Recent SEC Filing
Mt Newswire · May 7, 2026Earnings Flash (AGO) Assured Guaranty Ltd. Posts Q1 Adjusted EPS $2.50 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $1.51
Mt Newswire · May 7, 2026Earnings Flash (AGO) Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Q1 Revenue $261.0M, vs. FactSet Est of $208.6M
Benzinga · May 7, 2026Assured Guaranty Q1 Adj. EPS $2.50 Beats $1.68 Estimate, Sales $261.000M Beat $217.290M Estimate

Peers

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