Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited

CTC.TO · TSX

Low target0.00
Average target0.00
High target0.00

Analyst ratings

hold · 0 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target

Earnings trajectory and near-term profitability

Bull case

Historical data shows CTC.A has risen in 21 of the past 30 years over a 52-week period, with a 70% historical accuracy rate. Analysts project a meaningful earnings increase next year of $1.15 per share, suggesting the current dip in earnings is temporary and a recovery cycle is underway.

Bear case

The stock currently holds a Sell rating with a score of 41, sitting 18% below its historic median score of 50. Analysts estimate an earnings decrease this year of $0.22 per share, and the stock has already declined 3.9% year-to-date, signaling deteriorating near-term fundamentals.

CT REIT's valuation and contribution to Canadian Tire's overall portfolio

Bull case

CT Real Estate Investment Trust, in which Canadian Tire holds a 14.26% stake, trades near analyst consensus price targets and carries a Neutral overall rating with no sell recommendations among 9 analysts. This stable real estate asset provides consistent income and balance sheet support to the parent company.

Bear case

CT REIT's average 12-month analyst price target of $18.64 implies a -0.70% downside from current levels, with no analysts recommending a buy. BMO Capital and Desjardins both maintain Hold ratings, reflecting stagnation in the REIT segment and limited upside contribution to Canadian Tire's consolidated value.

Stock valuation and analyst consensus divergence

Bull case

Canadian Tire holds a Moderate Buy consensus rating on the TSX, backed by a strong buy rating and a dividend yield of 3.37%, providing income-oriented investors with meaningful returns. The stock's long-term track record and retail diversification support a constructive valuation outlook.

Bear case

On U.S. markets, Canadian Tire (CDNAF) is rated a Sell with a score of 48, still below its historic median of 50, and analysts flag selling pressure despite a short-term upward price trend. This divergence in ratings across markets highlights uncertainty about the stock's true fair value.