Energy Transfer LP

ET · NYSE

Low target$22.00
Average target$23.67
High target$25.00

Analyst ratings

strong_buy · 9 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
July 16, 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$24.00
May 27, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$23.00
May 14, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$23.00
May 13, 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$23.00
May 12, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$24.00
May 12, 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$24.00
May 7, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$23.00
May 6, 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$25.00
March 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$25.00
March 10, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$21.00
January 12, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$22.00
December 18, 2025Morgan StanleyDowngradesEqual-Weight$19.00
December 2, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$19.00
November 24, 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$21.00
November 13, 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$21.00
October 15, 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$25.00
October 15, 2025UBSReiteratesBuy$22.00
August 26, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$23.00

Revenue growth versus earnings per share divergence

Bull case

The 2026 revenue forecast for Energy Transfer LP was significantly upgraded from US$93.7 billion to US$103.9 billion, signaling strong top-line momentum driven by 20% Q1 operating income growth, NGL terminal expansion, and a fee-based cash flow model that ensures predictable earnings.

Bear case

Despite the revenue upgrade, EPS estimates were revised downward from US$1.53 to US$1.51, and the most recent quarterly earnings trend showed a decrease in diluted EPS as of June 2026, raising concerns about profitability translating to unitholders.

Long-term growth potential versus macro and commodity price risk

Bull case

Energy Transfer LP's fee-based model, with approximately 90% of cash flows insulated from commodity price swings, positions it as a resilient midstream giant. Net income is forecast to grow 25% next year, well above the prior 14% estimate, supporting a constructive long-term outlook.

Bear case

The broader energy sector faces significant volatility from geopolitical risk, inflationary pressures from elevated oil prices, and the potential for a rapid price reversal if Strait of Hormuz tensions ease and global oversupply reasserts itself, all of which could weigh on midstream volumes.

Technical momentum versus valuation and overbought signals

Bull case

Energy Transfer LP's share price of $20.20 trades above its 5-, 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages, with a MACD of 0.21 and Bollinger Bands both indicating a buy signal. The stock's technical score of 56 sits 12% above its historic median, suggesting lower-than-normal risk.

Bear case

The Relative Strength Index for Energy Transfer LP stands at 63.28, approaching overbought territory, which historically signals a potential near-term price pullback. The stock's rapid 2026 surge may have already priced in much of the near-term upside, limiting further gains.