Old National Bancorp

ONB · NASDAQ

Low target$25.00
Average target$28.00
High target$31.00

Analyst ratings

strong_buy · 9 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
July 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$31.00
April 23, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$28.00
April 23, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$29.00
April 23, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$28.00
April 22, 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold$25.00
April 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$30.00
February 24, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$29.00
January 26, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$27.00
January 22, 2026TD CowenUpgradesBuy$30.00
January 22, 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$28.00
January 22, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$26.00
January 7, 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$27.00
October 27, 2025TD CowenMaintainsHold$26.00
October 23, 2025Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$26.00
October 23, 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$26.00

Valuation and price target divergence

Bull case

Old National Bancorp commands strong institutional backing at 83.66% ownership, a Moderate Buy consensus, and aggressive price targets from Barclays ($31) and UBS ($32), suggesting the stock has meaningful upside from current levels given solid EPS beats and 44.4% year-over-year revenue growth.

Bear case

Jefferies Financial Group maintains a Hold rating with a comparatively modest $25 price target, and Raymond James initiated coverage at Market Perform, signaling that a subset of analysts view the stock as fairly valued or lacking a near-term catalyst to justify a higher valuation.

Earnings growth sustainability and EPS outlook

Bull case

Old National Bancorp beat EPS expectations with $0.61 per share and delivered 44.4% year-over-year revenue growth, with the full-year consensus EPS forecast of $2.57 reflecting confidence that the bank's earnings momentum is durable and well-supported by analysts.

Bear case

Despite the strong recent quarter, RBC only adjusted its price target modestly to $28 from $26 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating, implying skepticism that the earnings trajectory warrants a more aggressive re-rating given potential macroeconomic headwinds facing regional banks.

Short-term technical momentum vs. long-term fundamental strength

Bull case

Long-term technical indicators for Old National Bancorp remain constructive, with the long-term moving average providing support near $21.75 and the stock expected to rise approximately 7.41% over the next three months, supported by accumulated volume at $22.13 offering a buying opportunity.

Bear case

Short-term technical signals are decidedly negative, with a sell signal triggered from a pivot top on July 10, 2025, a sell signal from the 3-month MACD, and rising volume on falling prices — all pointing to continued downside pressure in the near term before any recovery.