VICI Properties Inc.

VICI · NYSE

Low target$27.00
Average target$32.55
High target$38.00

Analyst ratings

buy · 11 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
July 15, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$27.00
July 8, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$31.00
June 18, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$29.00
May 12, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$32.00
April 21, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$34.00
March 11, 2026MizuhoDowngradesNeutral$30.00
March 2, 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$34.00
February 2, 2026ScotiabankDowngradesSector Perform$30.00
December 17, 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$30.00
December 3, 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$33.00
December 1, 2025Evercore ISI GroupDowngradesIn-Line$32.00
November 28, 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$34.00
November 18, 2025Wells FargoDowngradesEqual-Weight$32.00
November 6, 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$35.00
October 31, 2025StifelMaintainsBuy$34.00
October 31, 2025Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$36.00
October 20, 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$37.00
September 15, 2025Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$38.00
September 11, 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$35.00
September 10, 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$38.00
August 28, 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$36.00
August 27, 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$36.00

Tenant concentration risk with Caesars and MGM

Bull case

VICI's heavy reliance on Caesars and MGM is backed by long-term, triple-net lease structures with inflation-linked rent escalators and investment-grade balance sheet support, providing stable and predictable cash flows that underpin the 6.62% dividend yield and consistent earnings beats.

Bear case

Concentration in just two major gaming tenants — Caesars and MGM — creates meaningful lease uncertainty and near-term operational risk. Any financial stress or strategic shift by either tenant could materially impact VICI's revenue base and dividend sustainability.

Valuation attractiveness versus limited near-term upside

Bull case

At a 9.2x P/E ratio with a consensus price target of $30.00 implying 12% upside, and 77% of analysts issuing buy ratings, VICI's current valuation is seen as compelling for income-focused investors seeking a defensive, high-yield real estate position.

Bear case

Despite the buy consensus, VICI's stock score sits at 38/100 — well below its historical median — with only 37.5% historical accuracy in rising over subsequent 52-week periods. The stock faces near-term selling pressure and a cautious 31.7% Buy, 56.1% Hold analyst split in some assessments.

Long-term growth optionality versus interest rate and macroeconomic sensitivity

Bull case

VICI's inflation-linked rents, $2.5B in operating cash flows, and investment-grade balance sheet position it well to pursue growth through acquisitions and lease expansions, with analysts highlighting strong fundamentals and a 76.83% net income margin as durable competitive advantages.

Bear case

VICI remains sensitive to macroeconomic headwinds and rising interest rates, which compress REIT valuations and raise borrowing costs for expansion. Analysts focused on valuation risk argue that the stock's current yield near historic highs signals market skepticism about the growth trajectory.