Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

BEP · NYSE

Low target$27.00
Average target$36.75
High target$42.00

Analyst ratings

buy · 8 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
June 12, 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$40.00
May 29, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$42.00
April 20, 2026CIBCMaintainsOutperformer$40.00
April 16, 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$40.00
March 23, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$42.00
March 4, 2026CIBCReinstatesOutperformer$37.00
January 23, 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$28.00
December 5, 2025UBSMaintainsBuy$39.00
November 24, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$38.00
November 6, 2025CIBCMaintainsOutperformer$35.00
November 6, 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$35.00
October 30, 2025UBSMaintainsBuy$38.00
October 30, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$35.00
October 16, 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$33.00
September 26, 2025MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$27.00
September 19, 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$32.00

Earnings trajectory and profitability outlook

Bull case

Morgan Stanley upgraded BEP to 'overweight' with a $42 price target, and UBS reaffirmed a 'buy' rating at $40, reflecting confidence that the company's expanding renewable asset base and steady revenue growth of 8.7% annually will support long-term value creation despite near-term EPS losses.

Bear case

Earnings are forecast to decline at 29.9% per annum, and BEP reported a quarterly EPS loss of $0.40, missing consensus estimates. Zacks Research downgraded the stock to 'strong sell,' and Wall Street Zen issued a 'strong sell' rating, citing persistent profitability concerns and a negative EPS forecast of -1.53 for the current fiscal year.

Stock valuation and price target divergence

Bull case

Eleven of sixteen covering analysts have issued buy ratings, with a consensus price target of $38.00 — well above the current trading price of ~$31.80–$33.38. Scotiabank set a $42 target and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce reaffirmed an 'outperform' rating, suggesting significant upside potential from current levels.

Bear case

Technical indicators paint a strongly negative picture, with BEP trading below its 5-, 20-, and 50-day exponential moving averages. The RSI of 31.54 signals oversold conditions amid selling pressure, and the MACD at -0.83 reinforces a sell signal, suggesting the stock may continue declining before finding a sustainable floor.

Dividend sustainability versus capital structure concerns

Bull case

BEP offers an annualized dividend of $1.57 per share, representing a 4.7% yield, which remains attractive relative to peers. Analysts at TD, National Bank Financial, and UBS maintained buy and outperform ratings, suggesting the dividend is viewed as a durable income stream supported by long-term contracted renewable cash flows.

Bear case

With a price-to-earnings ratio of -107.66 and a projected EPS of -1.53 for the current year, the company is paying out dividends while generating net losses. This raises questions about the long-term sustainability of distributions, as earnings are forecast to decline further at nearly 30% annually, potentially pressuring the balance sheet.