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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

GO · NASDAQ

Market closed$9.44$-0.140000 (-1.46%)After hours $9.44 · 0.00%

Key statistics

Previous close$9.58
Open$9.66
Day high$9.79
Day low$9.23
52-week high$19.41
52-week low$5.66
Market cap933.83M
Volume1.85M
Average volume2.87M
P/E ratio13.88
Forward P/E4.65
EPS0.68
Dividend yield0.00%

Market context

Why it moved

GO shares declined amid a broad market selloff driven by a sharp drop in semiconductor and technology stocks, which weighed on the Nasdaq and S&P 500 as investors rotated out of high-beta names amid renewed geopolitical tensions with Iran and concerns over AI spending.

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What is happening

Recent company-specific developments and publisher coverage.

July 17, 2026Grocery Outlet shares declined amid a challenging backdrop for the grocery sector, with new Bain & Company data showing U.S. grocery unit sales fell 1.8% in June year-over-year — a sharp reversal from prior growth — as consumers buy fewer items and trade down to cheaper brands. While this environment could theoretically benefit Grocery Outlet's deep-discount model, the broader industry headwinds and a defensive rotation in markets weighed on the stock; consumer staples outperformed the broader market on the day, with the XLP sector ETF advancing while the S&P 500 faced pressure from tech-driven volatility and escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions.

-1.4614

July 16, 2026Grocery Outlet shares closed modestly lower, extending a decline of more than 25% over the past year, as a challenging industry backdrop weighed on sentiment. A CNBC report highlighted a deepening U.S. grocery slowdown, with unit sales falling 1.8% in June year-over-year as consumers trade down or cut back amid prices roughly 33% above 2019 levels and reduced SNAP benefits. Meanwhile, the LA Times reported that Grocery Outlet is restarting California expansion — opening new stores in Ontario Ranch, Ramona, San Francisco, Clovis, and Petaluma — following its closure of 36 underperforming locations in March as part of a fleet optimization plan that management says will strengthen future earnings.

-1.1352

July 16, 2026Grocery Outlet shares declined, weighed down by a persistently cautious Wall Street consensus — 13 analysts carry an average "Reduce" rating with a mean price target of just $10.32 — and intensifying competitive pressure from Aldi's reported $9B U.S. expansion plan targeting 800 new stores over five years. The broader consumer staples sector (XLP) also softened, as investors rotated toward growth names lifted by a cooler-than-expected June CPI report. Despite a Q1 earnings beat ($0.05 EPS vs. $0.02 estimate) and FY2026 guidance of $0.45–$0.55 EPS, GO trades well below its 52-week high of $19.41, reflecting ongoing skepticism about the discount grocer's margin recovery and competitive positioning.

-1.4751

July 14, 2026Grocery Outlet shares closed modestly lower, underperforming the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP), as the stock continues to face persistent analyst skepticism — carrying a consensus 'Reduce' rating from 13 analysts with an average price target near $10.32. The discount grocer remains well below its 52-week high of $19.41, though an insider purchase of 5,000 shares in late June and a Q1 earnings beat signal some underlying confidence. In after-hours trading, shares edged up ~1.5%, outpacing XLP's modest after-hours gain, as a softer-than-expected June CPI print (3.5%) boosted broader consumer sentiment amid an otherwise volatile macro backdrop shaped by Iran-related geopolitical tensions and Fed rate hike uncertainty.

-0.8073

July 14, 2026Grocery Outlet shares edged lower amid a cautious analyst backdrop, with the stock carrying a consensus 'Reduce' rating from 13 analysts and an average price target near $10.32 — barely above current levels. Sentiment is weighed down by a $158M goodwill impairment charge reported in Q1, a CFO transition, and removal from the Russell 2000 Defensive and Value-Defensive indices, while Aldi's $9B US expansion plan adds competitive pressure to the discount grocery space.

-0.7014

July 11, 2026Grocery Outlet shares declined after a strong recent run, pulling back amid a broader macro backdrop of tightening U.S. consumer budgets — underscored by PepsiCo's Q2 miss citing gas price pressures and weak North American volumes. While GO posted the best Q4 results among grocery peers (revenues up 3.6%, stock up ~32% since reporting), the stock faced fresh scrutiny following its removal from the Russell 2000 Defensive and Value-Defensive indexes, prompting fund rebalancing and valuation debate. Ongoing headwinds include a class action lawsuit and fallout from 36 store closures tied to an overextended expansion, though management is pressing ahead with at least 30 new openings in 2026.

-2.1569

July 9, 2026Grocery Outlet closed slightly lower, edging down modestly after a strong post-earnings rebound that has lifted the stock over 32% since its Q4 report. The discount grocer delivered the best quarter among tracked grocery peers — revenues of $1.17B beat estimates by 1.4% with EPS and EBITDA also topping expectations — bolstering its narrative as a value-focused beneficiary of budget-constrained consumers. However, analysts are now scrutinizing valuation following Grocery Outlet's removal from the Russell 2000 Defensive and Value-Defensive indexes, with some models flagging the stock as overvalued near current levels versus a $7.62 narrative fair value, even as a DCF model points to $25.28. Ongoing headwinds include a class action lawsuit and 36 store closures, while macro pressures — tightening consumer budgets, rising oil prices from U.S.-Iran tensions, and elevated inflation — reinforce both the risk and the opportunity in discount grocery.

-0.3906

July 8, 2026Grocery Outlet closed modestly higher, benefiting from a defensive rotation as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East sent oil prices surging and drove investors away from tech and semiconductors into consumer staples. The stock has surged roughly 44% over the past 90 days following a strong Q4 earnings beat — revenues of $1.17B topped estimates by 1.4% with EPS and EBITDA beats — though the rebound has drawn scrutiny, with a recent removal from the Russell 2000 Defensive and Value-Defensive indexes prompting valuation debate and lingering concerns over 36 store closures and an ongoing class action lawsuit.

0.2938

KTVU · July 18, 2026Grocery Outlet uses facial recognition technology to reduce shopliftingProgressive Grocer · July 17, 2026Grocery Outlet Deploys Facial Recognition Tech in Bay Area StoresKQED · July 17, 2026Grocery Outlet Scans Your Face While You Shop. Critics Say It’s a Privacy ProblemLos Angeles Times · July 15, 2026Grocery Outlet restarts expansion with new California branchesSupermarket News · July 15, 2026Grocery Outlet is back opening storesSFist · July 14, 2026Four SF Grocery Outlet Stores Are Now Using Facial Recognition Software at EntrancesCBS News · July 14, 2026Grocery Outlet's facial recognition rollout divides Bay Area shoppers
Mt Newswire · June 9, 2026Grocery Outlet Reports Leadership Updates
Benzinga · June 9, 2026Grocery Outlet Promotes Ian Ferry To CFO, Effective Immediately, Succeeding Chris Miller; Co. Reiterates Q2, FY26 Guidance
Benzinga · May 14, 2026DA Davidson Maintains Neutral on Grocery Outlet Holding, Raises Price Target to $9
Benzinga · May 14, 2026Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Grocery Outlet Holding, Raises Price Target to $9
Benzinga · May 14, 2026Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Futures Gain As Trump Clears NVDA's H200 Sales To China— Cisco Systems, Doximity In Focus (UPDATED)
Benzinga · May 14, 2026Grocery Outlet Holding Stock Jumps Over 16% After Hours: Here's Why
Benzinga · May 13, 2026Full Transcript: Grocery Outlet Holding Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Mt Newswire · May 13, 2026Grocery Outlet Q1 Adjusted Earnings Fall, Sales Rise

Peers

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