International Paper Company

IP · NYSE

Low target$32.00
Average target$46.12
High target$57.00

Analyst ratings

strong_buy · 8 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
July 17, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$48.00
July 15, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$46.00
July 9, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$43.00
July 9, 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$51.00
July 9, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$42.00
May 4, 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$32.00
May 4, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$36.00
May 4, 2026Wells FargoUpgradesOverweight$39.00
May 1, 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$43.00
May 1, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$45.00
April 15, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$44.00
April 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$44.00
April 10, 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$40.00
March 20, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$38.00
February 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$47.00
February 2, 2026UBSDowngradesNeutral$44.00
January 30, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$54.00
January 30, 2026Wells FargoUpgradesEqual-Weight$40.00
January 12, 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$51.00
January 6, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$50.00
December 22, 2025Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$50.00
December 5, 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$46.00
November 3, 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy$46.00
October 31, 2025Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$36.00
October 31, 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$48.00
October 31, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$57.00
October 13, 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$53.00
October 7, 2025Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$44.00
October 6, 2025UBSMaintainsBuy$55.00
August 28, 2025B of A SecuritiesUpgradesBuy$57.00

Earnings recovery credibility and EPS trajectory

Bull case

Full-year EPS is forecast at approximately $1.38, representing a sharp recovery from a net loss the prior year. Firms like JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Truist have all raised price targets significantly, with Royal Bank of Canada lifting its target to $48 and maintaining an outperform rating, reflecting strong conviction in the earnings rebound.

Bear case

International Paper recently missed earnings expectations, posting $0.15 EPS versus the $0.18 consensus, while revenue also fell slightly short at $5.97 billion. Zacks Research maintained a Strong Sell rating and Bank of America downgraded the stock from buy to neutral, casting doubt on the reliability of the projected recovery timeline.

Analyst conviction and price target divergence

Bull case

The overall analyst consensus sits at Moderate Buy, with an average price target of $44.31. JPMorgan raised its target to $51, Truist to $46, and Royal Bank of Canada to $48, with eight analysts assigning buy ratings — suggesting broad institutional confidence in meaningful upside from current trading levels.

Bear case

Despite the broadly constructive consensus, UBS cut its price target sharply from $40 to $32 with a neutral rating, Weiss Ratings downgraded the stock to a sell (d), and Zacks Research maintained a Strong Sell. This wide dispersion in targets — ranging from $32 to $57 — reflects deep disagreement about the company's near-term prospects.

Demand recovery and revenue growth sustainability

Bull case

Seaport Research Partners upgraded International Paper from neutral to buy, and Wells Fargo raised its price target to $42 with an overweight rating, citing confidence in a meaningful demand recovery. Citigroup similarly upgraded its price objective to $43 with a buy rating, pointing to improved profitability driven by a rebound in packaging demand.

Bear case

Revenue came in slightly below estimates at $5.97 billion, and the company has a recent track record of earnings misses that raises questions about whether the demand environment is recovering as strongly as optimists suggest. Zacks Research revised Q3 2026 EPS estimates downward, signaling continued uncertainty around the pace and durability of any recovery.