Ingersoll Rand Inc.

IR · NYSE

Low target$80.00
Average target$93.71
High target$109.00

Analyst ratings

buy · 7 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
June 3, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$80.00
April 30, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$109.00
April 30, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$95.00
April 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$88.00
April 14, 2026StifelMaintainsHold$90.00
April 13, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$113.00
April 1, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$100.00
April 1, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$90.00
February 23, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$94.00
February 17, 2026StifelMaintainsHold$101.00
February 17, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$111.00
February 17, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$110.00
January 23, 2026StifelMaintainsHold$87.00
January 12, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$98.00
January 7, 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$92.00
December 16, 2025StifelMaintainsHold$81.00
December 8, 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy$94.00
November 3, 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy$91.00
November 3, 2025BairdMaintainsOutperform$100.00
October 20, 2025StifelMaintainsHold$79.00
October 6, 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$95.00

Organic growth trajectory amid weak industrial demand

Bull case

Management has flagged demand stabilization, and the company's resilient aftermarket services business — now at 37% of total revenue — provides a recurring, high-margin revenue buffer that partially offsets softness in new equipment orders, supporting earnings resilience even in a subdued industrial environment.

Bear case

IR stock has underperformed the S&P 500 by over 32 percentage points in the past 52 weeks, as slowing equipment demand and persistently weak manufacturing activity weigh on organic growth. The market continues to discount decelerating top-line momentum over the company's profitability story.

Valuation relative to peers and earnings growth potential

Bull case

The average analyst price target of approximately $92.80 implies roughly 20% upside from current levels, with one intrinsic value model placing fair value at $93.20. The company's step-change in margins, share buybacks, and growing aftermarket mix justify a premium multiple relative to machinery peers.

Bear case

IR trades at 52.6x earnings versus 26.8x for the U.S. machinery industry and 35x for direct peers, well above the estimated fair ratio of 38.4x. Morgan Stanley cut its price target to $80, viewing shares as only fairly valued at current levels, highlighting meaningful downside risk if sentiment cools.

M&A strategy as a growth driver versus margin and integration risk

Bull case

Ingersoll Rand's active M&A pipeline — highlighted by management's raised 2025 guidance with a $2.13B adjusted EBITDA target — demonstrates the company's ability to deploy capital accretively, expand its technology portfolio, and sustain above-average long-term earnings growth through disciplined inorganic expansion.

Bear case

The company's heavy reliance on acquisitions to fuel growth, combined with exposure to shifting trade policies and tariffs, could pressure margins and introduce integration risk that disrupts the earnings trajectory underpinning premium analyst price targets and intrinsic value estimates.