NuScale Power Corporation

SMR · NYSE

Low target$7.00
Average target$17.89
High target$34.00

Analyst ratings

hold · 9 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
May 11, 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell$7.00
April 24, 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$19.00
April 21, 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell$9.00
March 18, 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$13.00
March 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell$11.50
March 2, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$14.00
March 2, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$14.00
February 27, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$25.00
February 24, 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$15.00
February 24, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$20.00
December 22, 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$24.00
December 12, 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$23.00
November 25, 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral$20.00
November 10, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$32.00
October 21, 2025CitigroupDowngradesSell$37.50
September 30, 2025B of A SecuritiesDowngradesUnderperform$34.00
September 3, 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$60.00

Commercialization timeline and ability to secure binding contracts

Bull case

NuScale holds the sole NRC-approved small modular reactor design and has advanced partnerships, including a planned 6-gigawatt ENTRA1 and TVA project in the eastern United States. Optimistic analysts, with price targets as high as $25, see a potential power purchase agreement by end of 2026 as a transformative catalyst that could validate the technology at scale.

Bear case

Truist initiated coverage with a Hold rating and a $10 price target, citing mounting skepticism over NuScale's ability to convert MOUs and partnerships into timely, bankable power purchase agreements. The company has missed revenue estimates significantly, reporting just $0.56 million against a $7 million forecast, reinforcing doubts about near-term commercialization.

Revenue growth trajectory and long-term financial viability

Bull case

Some analysts project NuScale could reach $389.8 million in revenue and $42.8 million in earnings by 2029, with the most optimistic forecasts reaching $941.3 million in annual revenue. Canaccord Genuity set a $25 price target, implying substantial upside and confidence in eventual large-scale commercial deployments driving meaningful financial performance.

Bear case

The consensus revenue forecast for fiscal year 2026 has been revised sharply downward from $76.2 million to $59.9 million, while forecast losses have widened. The company carries a net income margin of -2,066.55% and has missed earnings expectations for three consecutive quarters, raising serious questions about the path to profitability.

ENTRA1 partnership integrity and shareholder litigation risk

Bull case

NuScale's collaboration with ENTRA1 and TVA remains central to its commercialization roadmap, and the ENTRA1 project is viewed by supporters as a potential proof-of-concept deployment that could unlock further contracts. Analysts at B. Riley and Northland maintained buy ratings and price targets of $19, signaling continued confidence in NuScale's strategic partnerships.

Bear case

A shareholder litigation firm is investigating NuScale for alleged misrepresentation of ENTRA1's experience and capabilities, raising concerns about undisclosed risks and the credibility of NuScale's commercialization roadmap. This legal overhang has amplified selling pressure, with the stock sliding from $11 to the mid-$7 range in under a month.