Simon Property Group, Inc.

SPG · NYSE

Low target$185.00
Average target$213.25
High target$236.00

Analyst ratings

buy · 12 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
July 9, 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$222.00
July 7, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$215.00
June 29, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$236.00
June 25, 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$213.00
June 23, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$215.00
June 18, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$220.00
June 10, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$207.00
June 1, 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$217.00
May 19, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$206.00
May 19, 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$212.00
May 18, 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$199.00
May 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$205.00
May 12, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$207.00
May 12, 2026StifelMaintainsHold$194.00
April 13, 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$201.00
March 24, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$192.00
March 2, 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$193.00
March 2, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$196.00
February 6, 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$210.00
February 5, 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$189.00
February 3, 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$230.00
February 3, 2026StifelMaintainsHold$185.00
February 3, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$198.00
January 14, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$189.00
January 8, 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$189.00
December 17, 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$181.00
November 26, 2025CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$185.00
November 18, 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$186.00
November 13, 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$186.00
November 10, 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$225.00
November 4, 2025StifelMaintainsHold$184.00
October 17, 2025Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$188.00
October 6, 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$180.00
September 18, 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$210.00
September 15, 2025Evercore ISI GroupDowngradesIn-Line$187.00
September 11, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$180.00
September 5, 2025Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy$185.00
August 28, 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$173.00
August 25, 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$169.00

Valuation: Fairly priced or overvalued after a strong rally?

Bull case

SPG trades at a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 14.1x versus a peer average of 31.8x, and below its estimated future cash flow value of $289.37, suggesting meaningful upside. Argus maintains a Buy rating, citing favorable valuation on price-to-funds-from-operations metrics compared to peers.

Bear case

After a 42.8% total return over the past year and hitting consecutive 52-week highs, InvestingPro places SPG on its Most Overvalued list. Wolfe Research downgraded the stock to Peerperform, noting it had already reached its price target earlier in the year.

Retail real estate resilience vs. structural headwinds for malls

Bull case

Simon's open-air malls are gaining popularity as preferred shopping and dining destinations, and its upscale mixed-use developments are experiencing positive leasing and pricing trends. Analyst Marie Ferguson highlights consistent revenue growth as evidence of Simon's ability to generate value even in challenging conditions.

Bear case

Despite projected annual revenue growth of 3.5%, earnings are forecast to decline at 13.8% per annum, raising concerns about profitability in the face of ongoing structural pressures on traditional retail real estate and rising operating costs.

Analyst consensus: Strong buy signal or limited near-term upside?

Bull case

Compass Point raised its price target to $255 and maintained a Buy rating, while BofA lifted its target to $236. Technical analysis points to a strong buy signal on a one-week basis, with the stock trending toward its 52-week high and delivering broad positive momentum.

Bear case

The average analyst price target of $224.42 sits below the current trading price, implying negative spread of -1.78%. Deutsche Bank downgraded SPG to Hold and multiple major banks — JPMorgan, UBS, Barclays, and Truist — maintain Neutral or Equalweight ratings, signaling limited conviction in further upside.