Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

VRTX · NASDAQ

Low target$350.00
Average target$547.33
High target$641.00

Analyst ratings

buy · 18 ratings

DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
July 13, 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$585.00
July 13, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$560.00
July 7, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$570.00
July 7, 2026BairdMaintainsUnderperform$350.00
May 6, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$615.00
May 5, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold$436.00
May 5, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$616.00
May 5, 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$572.00
May 5, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$543.00
April 30, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold$437.00
April 10, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$612.00
March 11, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$525.00
March 10, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$596.00
March 10, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$598.00
March 10, 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$585.00
March 10, 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$600.00
March 10, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy$641.00
February 17, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsHold$441.00
February 17, 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$607.00
February 17, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy$591.00
February 13, 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$558.00
February 13, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$541.00
February 13, 2026StifelMaintainsHold$466.00
February 13, 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy$518.00
January 28, 2026BarclaysUpgradesOverweight$606.00
January 26, 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$545.00
January 23, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$530.00
January 22, 2026RBC CapitalUpgradesOutperform$546.00
January 7, 2026UBSAssumesBuy$535.00
December 29, 2025Leerink PartnersMaintainsOutperform$525.00
December 10, 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$515.00
December 5, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$564.00
December 3, 2025Morgan StanleyUpgradesOverweight$516.00
November 7, 2025UBSMaintainsBuy$546.00
November 4, 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$415.00
November 4, 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$414.00
November 4, 2025StifelMaintainsHold$445.00
October 10, 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$438.00
October 8, 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$530.00
October 2, 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy$575.00
September 25, 2025Leerink PartnersUpgradesOutperform$456.00
September 11, 2025Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$475.00

Valuation: Is VRTX fairly priced or significantly overvalued after its recent rally?

Bull case

DCF models suggest VRTX is trading approximately 41.8% below its intrinsic value of ~$801.77 per share, and its P/E of 27.3x compares favorably to the peer average of 42x. Institutional investors like Rockefeller Capital Management have significantly increased their stakes, signaling strong professional confidence in the company's long-term value.

Bear case

Following a strong year-to-date rally, VRTX trades at a trailing P/E of ~31.4x and a PEG ratio of 2.01, exceeding historical medians and suggesting aggressive future growth is already priced in. Robert W. Baird reiterates an 'Underperform' rating with a $350 price target, implying steep downside from current levels.

Pipeline diversification: Can new drug franchises reduce dependence on the cystic fibrosis portfolio?

Bull case

Analysts who upgraded VRTX cite revenue diversification driven by the non-opioid pain drug Journavx and the gene-editing therapy Casgevy as highly lucrative growth avenues. Positive clinical data for suzetrigine further strengthened investor confidence, and the acquisition of Crinetics adds an approved rare-disease therapy and late-stage pipeline assets.

Bear case

More conservative analysts, including Canaccord Genuity maintaining a 'Hold' rating with a target near $436, argue that current pricing already reflects anticipated pipeline contributions. They project lower profit margins and earnings of only ~$4.5 billion by the late 2020s, questioning whether new franchises can meaningfully offset CF portfolio concentration risk.

Growth trajectory: Will revenue and earnings growth meet optimistic long-term analyst projections?

Bull case

Optimistic analysts project 15.29% annual revenue growth, with earnings potentially reaching ~$8.8 billion by 2029 supported by the kidney franchise, gene-editing portfolio, and broader pipeline. HC Wainwright lifted its price target to $641 and maintains a 'Buy' rating, reflecting confidence in mid-teen revenue growth and expanding profit margins.

Bear case

Conservative analysts forecast earnings of only ~$4.5 billion by the late 2020s under lower growth and margin assumptions. Weiss Ratings downgraded VRTX from 'Buy' to 'Hold', and the wide analyst price target dispersion of 12.14% — ranging from $330 to $641 — reflects deep uncertainty about the sustainability of Vertex's growth trajectory.